You have followed the political conversations, watched candidates announce their ambitions, and listened to analysts debate who has the strongest chance. You may already know who you think will be Nigeria’s next president, which governors will keep their seats, and which newcomers could upset the established order.
But how confident are you in those predictions?
Bayse Markets is giving you a way to find out and earn if you’re right.
Bayse is Africa’s largest online prediction market, formerly known as Gowagr, where you trade on the outcomes of real events such as elections, sports, finance, and entertainment. Everything runs in naira, so you do not need a foreign exchange account or crypto, and you can start with as little as ₦100.
The platform is available on the website and as a mobile app, and its dedicated Elections Hub keeps every 2027 race in one place.
Every Election has an Outcome. Which One Are You Predicting?
The presidential race will dominate national conversation, but the governorship and legislative contests matter just as much. Governorship elections will take place in twenty-eight states, alongside the National Assembly and State House of Assembly elections.
Think about your own state. Will the governor keep power, or will the opposition take over? Which party is strongest in your senatorial district? Could a relatively unknown candidate beat an established figure in your federal constituency? You can explore questions like these on Bayse.
The Elections Hub covers five categories:
- Presidential elections: Predict who will become Nigeria’s next president.
- Governorship elections: Trade on the twenty-eight state contests.
- Senate elections: Take positions on candidates competing for Senate seats.
- House of Representatives elections: Predict winners in federal constituencies.
- State House of Assembly elections: Follow candidates competing for state legislative seats.
You can focus on the races you understand best or follow several as the political landscape changes.
How Do You Put Your Predictions on Bayse?
You do not need to understand complicated financial instruments. Bayse uses a YES and NO share system. If a market asks whether a candidate will win a governorship election, you buy YES if you think they will win and NO if you think they will lose.
Each share has a price that moves as traders buy and sell, and that price gives an indication of how participants see the likelihood of the outcome. Here is a simple example. A YES share priced at ₦60 pays ₦100 if the outcome resolves YES. If you buy ten shares, you spend ₦600, and if the candidate wins, you receive ₦1,000, which is a potential profit of ₦400 before applicable fees. NO shares work on the same principle.
You can monitor your positions as prices change. Where the market supports it, you can also sell before the result is announced, which lets you secure gains or reduce losses without waiting for election day. Once the outcome is verified under the market’s resolution rules, winning shares receive their applicable payout.
Why is Prediction Trading Different from Betting?
Both involve taking financial positions on uncertain outcomes, so the question is fair. The difference is structural. A traditional bookmaker generally sets the odds and offers bets at those fixed prices. On Bayse, prices respond to buying and selling among participants, so you are joining a marketplace and not simply accepting someone else’s odds.
That gives you another way to test your view. You can compare your own assessment of a candidate’s chances with the current price and decide whether the position is worth taking. Neither approach guarantees a profit, and even your most confident prediction can turn out wrong.
Find out What Other Traders are Predicting
You are not making decisions in isolation. As more people trade, you can see which candidates and outcomes are attracting attention and how buying and selling move the prices as political developments unfold.
A candidate you consider unlikely might be drawing heavy activity. Another with wide public support might carry a price that makes you question whether people are overrating them. You can use this alongside your own research, though market popularity is not proof that a candidate will win.
Your Political Predictions Could Be Worth More Than an Argument
If you have been making predictions about 2027, here is your chance to back them up.
Getting started is simple. Visit Bayse Markets, create an account, fund your wallet, and head to the Elections Hub. You can also download the Bayse app to explore the markets and manage your positions from your phone.
You do not have to be a political analyst. What matters is your willingness to research the candidates, understand the markets, and make informed decisions. Always remember that you can lose the money you commit to a trade, so only trade what you can afford to lose.