What are political prediction markets on Bayse?
Political prediction markets on Bayse let you take positions on clearly defined political outcomes, covering elections, appointments, legislative events, or other political events that can be verified.
What political events can I predict on Bayse?
Available markets on Bayse may cover Nigerian elections, African elections, political appointments, legislative outcomes, and other measurable political events, changing as events develop.
How do I trade a political prediction on Bayse?
Choose a political market on Bayse and read Market Rules. Select Yes or No based on what you think will happen, enter your amount, and confirm your trade.
What should I check before trading a political market on Bayse?
Check the exact event, possible outcomes, closing time, and resolution source. The Market Rules on Bayse explain what must happen for the market to resolve Yes or No.
How are political markets resolved on Bayse?
Bayse checks the official or publicly verifiable source named in the Market Rules after the market closes, then resolves the result accordingly.
Can I sell my political position before the event ends on Bayse?
You may be able to sell your position on Bayse while the market is open, if selling is available and there is enough activity.
What if a result is disputed or a rerun is ordered?
The Bayse market rules explain how this is handled. Depending on the situation, a market may stay open until an official result is confirmed, or resolve based on the process described in its rules.
Can anyone trade on political markets on Bayse?
You must be at least 18 years old, and may be restricted from certain markets on Bayse if you can influence the outcome, have material non-public information, or are otherwise covered by Bayse's Trading Prohibition and Integrity Policy.
When do political markets close on Bayse?
Closing times on Bayse depend on the event. Some markets close the moment polls shut, others stay open until a result is officially declared.
Does Bayse guarantee political predictions?
No. Political outcomes can change quickly, and Bayse does not guarantee results or tell you which side to choose.