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Prediction markets involve financial risk—only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Bayse does not provide investment or financial advice. All market outcomes are resolved transparently using publicly verifiable sources. Participation is restricted to individuals 18 years and older and may be limited in some jurisdictions. Please review our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Prohibition Policy before using the platform.
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Entertainment

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

1 of 6
  • Avengers: Doomsday57%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day45%
  • The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0%
  • Dune: Messiah0%

Rules · This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to Yes if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to No.

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Avengers: Doomsday57.0%Spider-Man: Brand New Day45.0%The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0.0%Dune: Messiah0.0%
OpenNow
7 Trades₦13.3MEnds 1st Feb.

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